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The political landscape has shifted dramatically in just a few short days, presenting a presidential race that looks vastly different from what we anticipated. The burning question on everyone's mind is: What do voters think of Kamala Harris as she takes the helm at the top of the Democratic ticket? Today, we delve into the first snapshot of public opinion, revealing a fascinating new dynamic in the political arena.
Kamala Harris, in her first rally as the presumptive presidential nominee, took aim directly at Donald Trump and his Extreme Project 2025 agenda. Harris highlighted the potential dangers to the middle class, warning of proposed cuts to Social Security and Medicare, and tax breaks for billionaires and big corporations.
America has experimented with failed economic policies before, and Harris is determined that we won't revert to those dark days. CNN's David Chalian breaks down the latest poll numbers, painting a picture of a race that is no longer hypothetical. The numbers show a statistical dead heat, with Trump at 49% support and Harris at 46%—a mere three-point margin.
The poll reveals a near-total consolidation among Democrats for Harris, with over 90% of Republicans backing Trump. Among independents, the margin is narrower, with Trump leading 46% to Harris's 43%. This is a significant improvement for Harris, who is now only trailing Trump by three points among independents, compared to Biden's ten-point deficit in the previous months.
Harris is making significant inroads with key constituencies that were crucial to Biden's campaign. Young voters, who favored Trump by seven points in the spring, now show a four-point advantage for Harris. Among black voters, Harris has increased Biden's 47-point advantage to a remarkable 63%. Although Trump still holds a slight edge among Hispanic voters, Harris has narrowed the gap.
Democrats are split on whether they want the next nominee to continue Biden's policies or take the country in a new direction. The poll shows a near-even split, with 53% favoring continuity and 47% seeking change. This presents an interesting challenge for Harris as she shapes her campaign strategy.
The dynamics of voting motivations have also shifted. Harris's supporters are now evenly split between those who are voting for her and those who are voting against Trump. This is a stark contrast to Biden's campaign, where two-thirds of his votes were against Trump. Harris's ability to change this equation is a significant development in the race.
The political landscape is fluid, and the next few weeks will be critical. The Democratic Party seems to be rallying behind Harris, with key demographic groups starting to come back home. However, the race remains incredibly close, and the battleground states will ultimately determine the outcome.
As we witness this collective exhale from the Democratic Party, the question remains: Can Harris maintain this momentum and enthusiasm, and will it translate into those crucial independent voters who were so vital to Biden's victory in 2020? The next chapter of this presidential saga promises to be both thrilling and pivotal.
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