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Have you ever wondered how a single candidate can shift the entire landscape of an election? The entrance of Vice President Kamala Harris into the presidential race, coupled with the post RNC bump for Donald Trump, has done just that. Let's dive into the numbers and see how this unexpected twist is changing the game.
If we rewind to earlier this year, the projections for the 2024 election turnout were significantly lower than in 2020. Pre-debate polls indicated that only 55% of registered voters were certain to vote, a stark contrast to the 60% seen during the summer of 2020. However, something has changed. Post RNC and post Kamala Harris's entry, that number has surged to 62%. Could it be that we're actually looking at a higher turnout than the record-breaking 2020 election?
Throughout this election cycle, there has been a significant portion of voters who disliked both major party candidates. Pre-RNC polls showed 20% in both New York Times and Ipsos polling expressing this sentiment. Fast forward to now, and those numbers have plummeted to 8% and 7% respectively. This shift is dramatic and indicates a change in voter sentiment that could have a profound impact on the election.
RFK Jr., who was counting on this group of disillusioned voters, has seen his support dwindle. From 15% in December to a mere 5% now, his campaign is struggling. The fact that voters are now more likely to like one of the major party candidates is devastating his chances.
Congressman Mike Quigley of Illinois has weighed in on the vice presidential nominee, suggesting Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania as a strong candidate. However, he also points out that the vice presidential nominee can sometimes do more harm than good, especially if their values and statements are extreme.
The entrance of Kamala Harris into the race has brought a wave of change. The vice president has successfully united the party, ignited the base, and reversed polling trends. With $200 million raised in the first week and 58,000 new volunteers in the first 24 hours, the campaign is gaining momentum.
Foreign leaders are closely watching this race, recognizing the profound impact it will have on national and foreign policy. Kamala Harris has reaffirmed her support for NATO, Ukraine, and Israel, presenting a strong, reliable leader in the eyes of the international community.
In conclusion, the unexpected surge in voter turnout and the shifting sentiment among the electorate are indicators that this election is far from over. Kamala Harris and the RNC have introduced a new dynamic that could very well determine the outcome. Stay tuned.
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